The Structural Gap in Ontario’s Housing and Care Continuum
Ontario’s population aged 65+ is projected to grow significantly, from ~3.0 million in 2024 to ~4.6 million by 2051. As this cohort expands, rates of frailty, cognitive impairment, and functional decline will increase, driving sustained demand across both the housing and care continuums. Demographic change will also increase the number of older adults – like Mrs. W – whose needs fall between existing service models. These individuals will require:
- Predictable, 24/7 access to personal support, and
- Stable housing environments designed to accommodate increasing care needs
Ontario’s current housing and core continuum is not well positioned to support this group. It lacks a clearly defined, scalable housing model with embedded supports that enables individuals to remain safely in their communities as their care needs increase beyond what traditional home and community care services can provide.
The Solution: Enhanced Assisted Living
Enhanced Assisted Living (EAL) is the system’s missing middle – built for people whose needs are too complex for episodic home care, but who don’t yet require LTC. EAL pairs stable, affordable housing with 24/7 on-site support in community-based residences. By aligning housing and care together in one model, EAL can:
- Match services to need with predictable, on-site support;
- Prevent avoidable crises and reduce unnecessary hospital visits;
- Delay or avoid premature placement in LTC; and,
- Support aging in place with safety, dignity, and continuity.
Yet, Ontario has no clear way to implement and scale EAL.It is not formally recognized in Ontario’s housing and care continuum, and there is no coherent provincial policy or funding framework to support expansion. As a result, existing models have depended on local leadership and one-off solutions, limiting expansion and leaving growing population needs unmet.